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Crown Green Handicap

Ray Hayes

Top 10%
Team: Lane Ends ADivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

1025

Current Handicap

5
Honours
Season:

34

Matches Played

20

Wins

14

Losses

59%

Win Rate

9.3

Avg Win Margin

11.1

Avg Loss Margin

13-3

Home Record

7-11

Away Record

69%

Handicap Confidence

Moderately Reliable
34 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/1/2026

A solid recent sample: 34 of 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The handicap is settling and now moves mainly with form.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins20/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 34 matches

+5 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

20 Aug6 May17 Jun29 Jul5 May16 Jun28 Jul1 Sept-11357

Gives 5 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current5
Win Percentage(40%)
59%
score+0.18→contribution+0.07
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.3
score+0.22→contribution+0.06
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
11.1
score-0.51→contribution-0.08
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
70%
score+0.40→contribution+0.04
Opponent Strength(10%)
965
score+0.14→contribution+0.01
Weighted Score+0.104
Sample Size Confidence
69%(34/41 matches)
Rating1031 → shrunk 1021
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)1031
Recency Blend40% (34 recent matches)
Final Rating1025
Handicap
5

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

20W14L34 matches·58.8% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Lane Ends A2024–2026Division 134201458.8%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/1/2026John DuncanH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 1
8/25/2026Peter LindleyA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
8/18/2026Trevor BoldH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
8/11/2026Matthew CorlessH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
8/4/2026AbsentA21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 1
7/28/2026Anthony MaleyH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
7/21/2026Phil O'ConnorA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 1
7/14/2026B WhalleyH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 1
6/23/2026David TickleA21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 1
6/16/2026Alan WaterworthH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
6/9/2026Phil AspinallA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 1
6/2/2026David MorrisA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
5/20/2026Keith WilliamsA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
5/5/2026Danny EustaceA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
4/28/2026Lee DowningH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 1
4/7/2026Rob PilkingtonA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
8/5/2025Tex AllenH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
7/29/2025Alfie CatterallA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
7/22/2025Stuart BrandH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
7/15/2025Graham BakerH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
7/8/2025Wayne DolanA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
6/24/2025Harvey BirchA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 1
6/17/2025Daniel LofthouseH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
6/10/2025John JellyA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
6/3/2025John StirzakerH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
5/27/2025Chris AshtonA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 1
5/20/2025Alan BarkerH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
5/6/2025Graham BakerA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
4/29/2025Stephen CardwellH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 1
4/15/2025AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 1
4/8/2025Chris DagnallA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
8/27/2024Daniel LofthouseA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 1
8/20/2024Liam GregsonH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
8/14/2024Eric DaviesA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 1

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WLWWW
Last 1080% win rate— steady
WLWWWWLWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Absent202100%8/4/2026
Graham Baker11250%7/15/2025
Daniel Lofthouse0220%6/17/2025
John Duncan101100%9/1/2026
Peter Lindley0110%8/25/2026
Trevor Bold101100%8/18/2026
Matthew Corless101100%8/11/2026
Anthony Maley101100%7/28/2026
Phil O'Connor0110%7/21/2026
B Whalley101100%7/14/2026
Biggest Win
Absent (+21)8/4/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Daniel Lofthouse (-17)8/27/2024
Best Season
202675% · 16 matches
Worst Season
202553% · 15 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
47% → 71%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
96534 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
9-950% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
11-569% win rate
Division 158.8%
20W·14L·34 played

Debut

Aug 14, 2024

Latest

Sep 1, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (2.0 yr span)

Matches / Season

11.3 (34 total)

Seasons

202420252026